Showing posts from category China.
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A Good Woman Is Hard To Find
›August 30, 2007 // By Gib ClarkeThey say that a good man is hard to find. But in some countries, the opposite is true: a good woman is hard to find—because it’s hard to find women at all. According to a recent article by the BBC, the Chinese city of Lianyungang has eight men for every five women. Ninety-nine cities in China have gender ratios as high as 125 (125 men for every 100 women, or a 5:4 ratio).
But China is not alone. India has a gender ratio of 113, and the ratio in Asia as a whole is 104.4. In the United States, by contrast, the rate is 97, meaning that there are more women than men.
Gender imbalances are caused by cultural and economic preferences for male children, which contribute to sex-selective abortion and female infanticide. Over 60 million girls are “missing” in Asia as a result of these practices.
Furthermore, some government policies may intensify these gender preferences. China’s one-child policy, for example, may cause concern among parents, particularly in rural areas, that having a female child endangers their family’s future. Government policies intended to combat skewed gender ratios, such as bans on prenatal ultrasounds for the purpose of determining the baby’s sex and bans on sex-selective abortion, have proven ineffective.
Unbalanced gender ratios have consequences that reach beyond just the mothers and children involved. According to Valerie Hudson, high gender ratios leave many men without prospects for marriage, which may mean these men have fewer incentives to contribute peacefully to society. The men with the slimmest prospects for marriage are likely to be unemployed, poor, and uneducated, so they are already at increased risk for violent behavior. Hudson cites statistical evidence showing links between high gender ratios and higher rates of violent crime, drug use, trafficking, and prostitution.
Hudson and co-author Andrea den Boer cover these links in greater detail in their book Bare Branches: The Security Implications of Asia’s Surplus Male Population. In the 11th issue of the Environmental Change and Security Report, Richard Cincotta takes issue with some of the statistical methods that Hudson and den Boer use. He argues that what is important is not nationwide gender ratios, but the number of “marriage-age men” (25-29 years old) and “marriage-age women” (20-24).
While there may be some debate over whether the relationship between gender ratios and violent behavior is a causal one, there is little doubt about what causes the gender imbalances in the first place. An end to preferences for female children will be beneficial not only to girls and women, but to societies as a whole.
Photo Credit: A subway in China, courtesy of flickr user 俊玮 戴. -
Environmental Trustbuilding Opportunities – DOD and the PLA
›June 2, 2007 // By Geoffrey D. DabelkoAs the Cold War came to an end in the late 1980s and early 1990s, the U.S. and Soviet (then Russian) militaries conducted joint scientific assessment of radioactive threats in the highly militarized waters off Russia’s Northwest. The Norwegians started the dialogue with Gorbachev’s USSR a few years earlier and helped bring in the Americans as relations began to thaw. Environmental threats were an honest concern: Norwegians worried for example about irradiating their lucrative salmon industry and the Russian habit of decommissioning their nuclear submarines by just scuttling them with reactors intact worried everyone.
But scientific assessment and environmental management also served as a means to an end. It was a less controversial avenue for dialogue, one that allowed civilians and uniformed military on both sides of the superpower confrontation to meet, build trust, and begin cooperating. NATO went on to make such exchanges a fundamental element of its Partnership for Peace programs for engaging the former Soviet Union and Eastern Europe.
Such exchanges are now possible (again) between the United States and China. In the late years of the second Clinton Administration, the US Department of Defense and the People’s Liberation Army started dialogue on natural disaster preparedness and response, a non-warfighting mission both militaries were commonly asked to execute on home soil. The April 2001 Hainan incident and Secretary Donald Rumsfield’s absolutist reaction (severing all ties with China and ratcheting up the China as strategic military threat perspective) put an end to such plans for military to military environmental engagement. The attacks of 9-11 came four months later and this opportunity for engagement has languished since then.
Now Secretary of Defense Robert Gates has reopened the prospect for such environmental engagement. On his current Asian tour, Gates said there was an opportunity to “build trust over time” and even cited the U.S.-Soviet dialogue at the end of the Cold War as a model. DOD should re-energize its use of bilateral environmental agreements to regularize such an avenue to trust-building exchanges. Such exchanges should utilize environmental dialogue as both a means to bring deeper understanding and greater stability to the bilateral relationship while taking steps to redress real environmental challenges in both countries. In this way the environment should be an integral part of an engagement strategy that provides a new interpretation on the saying do well while doing good.