Right now,
Rich Cincotta is live on “PRB Discuss Online,” answering the question,
“Does a Young Age Structure Thwart Democratic Governments?” He is responding to reader questions like “Do Democratic governments being overcome by poverty and high unemployment rates have a chance to succeed” and “Why do you think the mainstream demography community is so slow or unwilling to pick up the research questions you have pursued?” Read the
transcript and Cincotta’s recent article on this topic, “
Half a Chance: Youth Bulges and Transitions to Liberal Democracy.”
A new World Bank working paper,
“Breaking the Waves? Does Education Mediate the Relationship Between Youth Bulges and Political Violence?” by Bilal Barakat and Henrik Urdal finds “evidence that large, young male population bulges are more likely to increase the risk of conflict in societies where male secondary education is low”–particularly in low and middle-income countries.
Mardy Shualy of
Foreign Policy’s blog suggests policymakers
do the math to compare the costs of secondary education to the economic toll of war and civil conflict.